A Hybrid Ensemble-Based QoE Prediction from QoS and User Satisfaction Data: A case study on Cameroon’s 3G/4G Mobile Networks

Author Osee K.; Nkemeni V.; Sone M.; Kuaban G.
Title A Hybrid Ensemble-Based QoE Prediction from QoS and User Satisfaction Data: A case study on Cameroon’s 3G/4G Mobile Networks
Journal IEEE ACCESS
Year 2025
Status Published
DOI 10.1109/ACCESS.2025.3637159
Abstract <p>The rapid growth of mobile internet and social media usage in Sub-Saharan Africa has amplified the need for accurate Quality of Experience (QoE) assessment in resource-constrained network environments. This paper introduces a novel hybrid Machine Learning (ML) framework for predicting user QoE in Cameroon’s Third Generation and Fourth Generation (3G/4G) networks, leveraging a unique real-world dataset that integrates crowdsourced Quality of Service (QoS) measurements with subjective user satisfaction surveys. Addressing the limitations of existing QoE studies that focus on well-resourced regions, our approach proposes <em>QoE Predictor (QoEPredict)</em>. This stacking ensemble combines eXtreme Gradient Boosting&nbsp;(XGBoost) and Random Forest classifiers with an XGBoost meta-learner. A key innovation is the use of disagreement features to capture divergences between base model predictions, allowing the meta-learner to resolve conflicts and enhance predictive accuracy.&nbsp;The proposed five-stage pipeline incorporates data preprocessing, feature engineering via Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection (UMAP), unsupervised clustering, and Bayesian hyperparameter optimisation using Hyperopt, ensuring a robust and transferable methodology. Explainable AI (XAI) is integrated through SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis to provide feature-level interpretability and actionable insights for network operators. An experimental evaluation of 1,934 user sessions demonstrates that <em>QoEPredict</em>&nbsp;achieves a 90% F1 Score and accuracy, outperforming single-model baselines across all metrics.&nbsp;This work represents one of the first large-scale, interpretable QoE prediction frameworks for mobile social media applications in Sub-Saharan Africa. By combining ensemble modelling with explainability and contextualised insights, the study offers both methodological advances and practical guidance for implementing QoE-aware network management strategies in developing regions facing infrastructural and operational constraints.</p>
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